LONDON OPEN TOKYO CLOSED BANGKOK OPEN · 21:32 NEW YORK OPENS 14:30 BST UK CPI 17 JUN FOMC 17 JUN BoT MPC 24 JUN DXY 104.82 +0.24% GOLD $2,348.40 -0.18% SET INDEX 1,372.84 -0.43% LONDON OPEN TOKYO CLOSED BANGKOK OPEN · 21:32 NEW YORK OPENS 14:30 BST UK CPI 17 JUN FOMC 17 JUN BoT MPC 24 JUN DXY 104.82 +0.24% GOLD $2,348.40 -0.18% SET INDEX 1,372.84 -0.43%
Vol. 1 · No. 1 · Mon 8 Jun 2026 The pound buys 43.819 baht today Latest daily mid-market snapshot · 8 June 2026
Established Online 2026 · Wirral, England

A magazine about money, travel and life in Thailand.

Vol. 1 · No. 1 Forecast, rates, expat finance
— Department 04 —

The Forecast Desk

Where the baht is heading, why it matters for British readers, and what we are getting wrong about the macro picture.

New analysis every Wednesday · Currently 2 published · Editorial only, not financial advice

At a glance

Where the baht is heading, why it matters for British readers, and what we are getting wrong about the macro picture. The lead story, archive links, and department guides below are selected by The Baht editorial with supporting methodology and standards linked in the footer.

Source-backed macro watch

Macro dates behind the forecast

Checked 23 May 2026

The Forecast Desk tracks official central-bank and inflation dates before writing rate calls. These are the next scheduled events most likely to matter for GBP/THB, USD/THB, and broader baht direction.

Wed 17 Jun07:00 UK
HIGHGBP/THBInflation

UK CPI - May 2026

Higher inflation can support GBP through rate expectations; softer inflation can pull GBP/THB lower.

ONS release calendar · 17 June 2026

Wed 17 JunFOMC day 2
HIGHUSD/THBCentral bank

FOMC decision + SEP

Dollar direction feeds Asian FX and USD/THB, then often spills into GBP/THB through risk sentiment.

Federal Reserve FOMC calendar · 17 June 2026

Thu 18 Jun12:00 UK
HIGHGBP/THBCentral bank

Bank of England MPC decision

The vote split and guidance affect sterling, especially if inflation has surprised the day before.

Bank of England MPC dates · 18 June 2026

Wed 24 JunBangkok
HIGHTHBCentral bank

Bank of Thailand MPC decision

The policy-rate decision and statement language set the near-term tone for the baht.

Bank of Thailand MPC schedule · 24 June 2026

Wed 22 Jul07:00 UK
HIGHGBP/THBInflation

UK CPI - June 2026

A fresh inflation print resets expectations for the July Bank of England meeting.

ONS release calendar · 22 July 2026

Wed 29 JulFOMC day 2
HIGHUSD/THBCentral bank

FOMC decision

A hawkish Fed normally supports USD/THB; a softer Fed can relieve pressure on Asian currencies.

Federal Reserve FOMC calendar · 29 July 2026

Upcoming macro dates are checked against official BoT, Fed, Bank of England, and ONS calendars. Release times can still change, so forecasts link back to the official source. Dates are local publication dates. UK releases use London time; Thai MPC releases use Bangkok time; FOMC decisions are shown by meeting day.

The Rate Watch

First piece coming

The week's baht moves, plainly explained. Aimed at readers who already get the gist of an FX rate and want to know what made the line move.

I

The first rate-watch lands Wednesday.

II

What moved the baht this week.

III

The level worth watching next.

The Macro View

2 pieces

What the Bank of Thailand, the Fed, and the bigger economic forces are doing, and what it means for the baht. Longer-form, less timely.

Reader Questions

First piece coming

Real questions from readers, answered in public. Anonymised, but the question is verbatim.

I

Your question, answered in public.

II

A reader question becomes a forecast.

III

Ask, and it may run here.

The archive

Every piece, newest first. Sorted by publish date.

— Mondays, in your inbox

The Baht Brief.

Four minutes every Monday: one rate move worth knowing, one forecast worth holding, one reader question worth answering.

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